So here's an update for me. AJ sent paypal an SAIA tracking number, right at the deadline for responding. However, I can't validate it because it contains letters, and everything on SAIA's website is tracking of numeric values only; so I'm still skeptical. Paypal claims they will attempt to validate it themselves. It doesn't allow me to respond on the claim, so I tried sending an email to paypal. I got a response back that seemed automated, and completely ignored my statement that I could not validate the tracking number.