a 3 year old Z with 36k has a residual value of about/approx 55-60% of the original purchase price ... so if you add more miles and 2 more years, and the fact that they are giving you trade-in, you end up at around that number... I never buy new and usually end well above water. Also, I believe the 2 big drops in value are when a car hits 60k miles and/or 5 years of age ... the minute you hit 60k you may be looking at much lower value
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