There's a lot of assumptions going on.
I assumed that the colts could go winless all season. I think most would think MIA is going to have the worst record though.
But truly if you get down to it I would trade the #1 pick for a proven player that can help me now or diversify and get multiple 1 and 2 round picks of players who could be of impact the next season. Especially if I'm counting on a QB at the level of manning for the next 3 yrs.
Branford got 6 yrs & $78 million $50 million guaranteed.
Why would a team want to pay that to a player to sit on the bench unproven for 3 to 4 yrs?