Quote:
Originally Posted by jginnane
I would not expect $25K depreciation in 4 years. The 2010 roadster is a healthy price increase, and whatever Nissan is selling as a Z in 4 years will cost 20% more than this year's sticker. (After we get though this deflationary cycle there will be price inflation in a number of economic sectors, to catch up.) So if you paid $35K this year, and the 2013 equivalent new car is $42K, you might trade at $22K ... which would represent a realworld cost of ownership of about $5,000., or a little over $400 a month.
|
that's why i said worst case scenario.
but your estimates may be a bit too optimistic, especially for a 2-seater. most cars don't hold >50% value after 4 years unless it's an actual mainstream car like toyota corolla. you're right that gently used cars will probably get you a bit more when you sell privately, but keep in mind there are many other german competitions with Z that may experience greater drop in price in the future. when their price lowers to within a few grand from Z, people will have a fun time choosing, unless they're die-hard Z-fan~
also, it's unlikely for nissan to introduce a 20% price hike in just 4 years
unless they have some major redesign/improvement (when that time comes, will you take the newer Z or the 370z?). the state of the economy doesn't have that much influence over sticker price, and they'd risk losing many potential buyers to other brands. all in all, 370z is a good buy. but it's unrealistic to think that Z would an exception to the general trend in auto industry